New York 22

— (R) vs John Mannion (D).

Called by the AP: John Mannion (D). John Mannion (D) 58.3%; Kailee Buller (R) 41.6%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid D. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 0%.