New York 3

Mike LiPetri (R) vs Tom Suozzi (D).

Count in progress (61% of the expected vote): Tom Suozzi (D) 57.3%; Michael LiPetri (R) 42.4%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Likely D. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 9%.