New York 4

Jeanine Driscoll (R) vs Laura Gillen (D).

Count in progress (48% of the expected vote): Laura Gillen (D) 57.9%; Jeanine Driscoll (R) 41.8%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Likely D. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 5%.