Ohio 10

Mike Turner (R) vs Kristina Knickerbocker (D).

Count in progress (96% of the expected vote): Kristina Knickerbocker (D) 49.5%; Mike Turner (R) 47.5%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Lean R. Public polls: 3.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 70%.