Ohio 12

Troy Balderson (R) vs Jerrad Christian (D).

Called by the AP: Troy Balderson (R). Troy Balderson (R) 60.0%; Jerrad Christian (D) 40.0%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.