Oklahoma 1

Mark Tedford (R) vs John Croisant (D).

Count in progress (86% of the expected vote): Mark Tedford (R) 52.3%; John Croisant (D) 47.7%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 99%.