Pennsylvania 1

Brian Fitzpatrick (R) vs Bob Harvie (D).

Count in progress (69% of the expected vote): Bob Harvie (D) 53.7%; Brian Fitzpatrick (R) 46.3%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Lean R. Public polls: 8.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 46%.