Pennsylvania 5

Nicholas Manganaro (R) vs Mary Gay Scanlon (D).

Called by the AP: Mary Scanlon (D). Mary Scanlon (D) 71.9%; Nick Manganaro (R) 28.1%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid D. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 0%.