Pennsylvania 8

Rob Bresnahan (R) vs Paige Cognetti (D).

Called by the AP: Paige Cognetti (D). Paige Cognetti (D) 55.2%; Rob Bresnahan (R) 44.8%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Toss Up. Public polls: 6.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 27%.