Texas 11

August Pfluger (R) vs Claire Reynolds (D).

Count in progress (38% of the expected vote): Claire Reynolds (D) 54.7%; August Pfluger (R) 45.3%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.