Texas 13

Ronny Jackson (R) vs Mark Nair (D).

Count in progress (48% of the expected vote): Ronny Jackson (R) 62.2%; Mark Nair (D) 37.8%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.