Texas 15

Monica De La Cruz (R) vs Bobby Pulido (D).

Count in progress (6% of the expected vote): Monica De La Cruz (R) 52.9%; Bobby Pulido (D) 47.1%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Toss Up. Public polls: 6.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 34%.