Texas 16

Adam Bauman (R) vs Veronica Escobar (D).

Called by the AP: Veronica Escobar (D). Veronica Escobar (D) 72.5%; Adam Bauman (R) 27.4%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid D. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 0%.