Texas 17

Pete Sessions (R) vs Casey Shepard (D).

Count in progress (56% of the expected vote): Casey Shepard (D) 55.8%; Pete Sessions (R) 44.2%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 99%.