Texas 19

Tom Sell (R) vs Kyle Rable (D).

Count in progress (18% of the expected vote): Tom Sell (R) 69.5%; Kyle Rable (D) 30.6%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.