Texas 25

Roger Williams (R) vs Dione Sims (D).

Count in progress (50% of the expected vote): Dione Sims (D) 59.2%; Roger Williams (R) 40.8%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 99%.