Texas 26

Brandon Gill (R) vs Steven Shook (D).

Count in progress (69% of the expected vote): Brandon Gill (R) 51.5%; Steven Shook (D) 47.5%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.