Texas 27

Michael Cloud (R) vs Tanya Lloyd (D).

Count in progress (54% of the expected vote): Tanya Lloyd (D) 58.5%; Michael Cloud (R) 41.5%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 0.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 99%.