Texas 34

Eric Flores (R) vs Vicente Gonzalez (D).

Called by the AP: Vicente Gonzalez (D). Vicente Gonzalez (D) 56.6%; Eric Flores (R) 38.9%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Lean D. Public polls: 4.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 19%.