Texas 9

Alex Mealer (R) vs Leticia Gutierrez (D).

Count in progress (63% of the expected vote): Leticia Gutierrez (D) 57.8%; Alex Mealer (R) 42.2%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Likely R. Public polls: 3.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 89%.