Virginia 1

Rob Wittman (R) vs Shannon Taylor (D).

Count in progress (97% of the expected vote): Shannon Taylor (D) 50.9%; Rob Wittman (R) 48.9%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Toss Up. Public polls: 5.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 45%.