Virginia 2

Jen Kiggans (R) vs Elaine Luria (D).

Count in progress (83% of the expected vote): Elaine Luria (D) 51.3%; Jen Kiggans (R) 46.4%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Lean D. Public polls: 2.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 16%.