Wisconsin 3

Derrick Van Orden (R) vs Rebecca Cooke (D).

Count in progress (63% of the expected vote): Rebecca Cooke (D) 53.0%; Derrick Van Orden (R) 45.3%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Lean D. Public polls: 4.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 23%.