Arkansas — Senate

Tom Cotton (R) vs Hallie Shoffner (D).

Called by the AP: Tom Cotton (R). Tom Cotton (R) 54.6%; Hallie Shoffner (D) 42.3%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 6.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.