Florida — Senate (special)

Ashley B. Moody (R) vs Angie Nixon (D).

Called by the AP: Ashley Moody (R). Ashley Moody (R) 50.9%; Angie Nixon (D) 47.9%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 8.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 95%.