Minnesota — Senate

Michele Tafoya (R) vs Peggy Flanagan (D).

Count in progress (22% of the expected vote): Michele Tafoya (R) 50.7%; Peggy Flanagan (D) 46.5%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Lean D. Public polls: 8.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 6%.