Montana — Senate

Kurt Alme (R) vs Alani Bankhead (D).

Count in progress (13% of the expected vote): Kurt Alme (R) 50.6%; Seth Bodnar (I) 35.9%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 8.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.