Ohio — Senate (special)

Jon Husted (R) vs Sherrod Brown (D).

Count in progress (85% of the expected vote): Sherrod Brown (D) 48.4%; Jon Husted (R) 46.7%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Toss Up. Public polls: 8.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 32%.