Tennessee — Senate

Bill Hagerty (R) vs Marquita Bradshaw (D).

Count in progress (84% of the expected vote): Bill Hagerty (R) 54.9%; Marquita Bradshaw (D) 43.1%. Source: The Associated Press.

Cook: Solid R. Public polls: 1.

Atlas pre-election model — built only from data frozen on October 29, 2026; first published November 3 after polls closed, so it is a test of the method, not a prediction. Republican chance in that model: 100%.