Current races

Ashley Hinson — Ashley Hinson (R) vs. Josh Turek (D) vs. Thomas Laehn (L)

Ratings

Cook Toss Up (08-20); Sabato Lean R (08-26); IE Tilt R (08-06)

Newest public polling

Rasmussen 09-08..10 n=1,031 LV: Turek 45 / Hinson 40; YouGov 09-03..08 n=2,169 RV: Turek 44 / Hinson 43; Emerson 08-31..09-01 n=750 LV: Hinson 50 / Turek 45

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Hinson $10,217,845 raised / $6,749,491 COH; Turek $6,276,527 / $2,362,314

Seat

Open — Joni Ernst (R) retiring (announced 2025-09-02)

Notable

Trump endorsed Hinson (2025-09-05). No CFG release names Iowa; the $3.78M anti-Turek buy is FEC-reported only. Trump +13 state in 2024 (Rasmussen).

Club network

general IE $3,775,830; primary-era $0

Ken Paxton — Paxton (R) vs. James Talarico (D) vs. Ted Brown (L)

Ratings

Cook Toss Up (08-20); Sabato Toss-up (08-26); IE Lean R (09-03)

Newest public polling

SoCal Strategies 09-12..13 n=649 LV: Talarico 50 / Paxton 45; InsiderAdvantage 09-08..09 n=1,200 LV: Talarico 47 / Paxton 46; AARP (Fabrizio/Impact) 08-30..09-01 n=895 LV: Talarico 48 / Paxton 44

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Paxton $9,248,699 raised / $1,755,783 COH; Talarico $68,555,930 / $21,548,155

Seat

Open in effect — Cornyn (R) lost renomination

Notable

Trump endorsed Paxton 05-19 (filibuster commitment). No CFG general-election reservation found; Texas Tribune 09-11 on GOP Senate super-PAC spending for Paxton does not mention CFG.

Club network

general IE $42,986; primary-era $8,651

Jon Husted — Husted (R) vs. Sherrod Brown (D) vs. Bill Redpath (L) vs. Greg Levy (I)

Ratings

Cook Toss Up (08-20); Sabato Toss-up (08-26); IE Toss-up (Tilt R→Toss-up 09-03)

Newest public polling

InsiderAdvantage (R) 09-08..09 n=1,200 LV: Brown 47 / Husted 42; Abacus 08-26..28 n=306: Brown 52 / Husted 46; Fox News 08-06..10 n=1,008 RV: Brown 53 / Husted 45

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Husted $14,360,028 raised / $9,419,311 COH; Brown $38,566,234 / $16,229,741

Seat

Appointed incumbent Jon Husted (R) — Vance seat

Notable

Trump endorsed Husted 2025-04-09. Every public poll since June shows Brown ahead.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $250,340

Derek Merrin — Kaptur (D) vs. Merrin (R) vs. Matthew Althaus (L)

Ratings

Cook Toss Up (Lean R→Toss Up 01-15); Sabato Toss-up (09-10); IE Tilt R (09-10)

Newest public polling

McLaughlin (R, NRCC) 04-18..20 n=400 LV: Merrin 47 / Kaptur 43; no nonpartisan general poll found

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Kaptur $4,303,416 raised / $3,491,668 COH; Merrin $1,508,953 / $531,214. CLF Toledo $3.6M; HMP Toledo $3,067,500.

Seat

Incumbent Marcy Kaptur (D), 48.3% in 2024; redrawn 2025 (Trump 55-44 under new lines)

Notable

Trump endorsed Merrin 05-21 (stayed out of the primary). 2024 rematch: Kaptur 181,098 vs Merrin 178,716 on old lines.

Club network

general IE $706,277; primary-era $2,756

Tom Barrett — Barrett (R) vs. William Lawrence (D, Sunrise Movement co-founder)

Ratings

Cook Toss Up (09-11); Sabato Toss-up (09-10); IE Toss-up (09-10)

Newest public polling

GSG (D, HMP) 08-11..13 n=500 LV: Lawrence 49 / Barrett 47; Data for Progress 06-24..30 n=772: Lawrence 48 / Barrett 46

Reported money

FEC 07-15: Barrett $6,306,828 raised / $2,871,872 COH; Lawrence $1,119,198 / $383,116

Seat

Incumbent Tom Barrett (R), 50.3% in 2024 (Lansing metro + Livingston)

Notable

McIntosh 09-04: Lawrence 'focused on emulating Zohran Mamdani and other Socialists'. Trump endorsed Barrett. DCCC's chosen candidate (Brink) lost the primary.

Club network

general IE $597,506; primary-era $0

Mike Beltran — Castor (D) vs. Beltran (R)

Ratings

Cook Toss Up (Lean R→Toss Up 08-25); Sabato Toss-up (09-10); IE Tilt R (09-03)

Newest public polling

St. Pete Polls 07-14..15 n=469 LV: Castor 46 / Beltran 38 (pre-primary; no post-primary poll found)

Reported money

FEC 07-29: Castor $2,337,125 raised / $1,744,723 COH; Beltran $2,116,747 / $1,939,864

Seat

Incumbent Kathy Castor (D) — district redrawn 2026 (Trump margin −7.64 → +10.47; all Hillsborough)

Notable

Trump, DeSantis, NRCC chair Hudson and Freedom Caucus Fund endorse Beltran. New map litigation ongoing but in force (FL Supreme Court denied emergency petition 06-10).

Club network

general IE $455,986; primary-era $0

Scott Perry — Perry (R) vs. Janelle Stelson (D, 2024 nominee)

Ratings

Cook Toss Up (09-11); Sabato Toss-up (09-10); IE Toss-up (09-10)

Newest public polling

Normington Petts (D, Stelson) 04-20..23 n=400 RV: Stelson 51 / Perry 45; PPP (Republicans Against Perry) 11-18..19-2025: Perry −7 vs generic D; no nonpartisan poll

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Perry $5,194,925 raised / $2,845,976 COH; Stelson $6,364,069 / $4,478,639. CLF Harrisburg $2.9M; HMP $3,474,000.

Seat

Incumbent Scott Perry (R), 50.6% in 2024 (Harrisburg–York, PVI R+3)

Notable

Trump endorsed Perry 2025-03-27. Debate 10-14 (ABC27). Perry lost 2024 by ~1 point margin equivalent (won 50.6-49.4).

Club network

general IE $325,719; primary-era $49,892

Zach Nunn — Nunn (R) vs. Sarah Trone Garriott (D)

Ratings

Cook Toss Up (01-15); Sabato Toss-up (09-10); IE Toss-up (09-10)

Newest public polling

Ragnar (R, Conservatives For America) 03-12..14 n=400: Nunn 48 / Trone Garriott 42; no nonpartisan general poll

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Nunn $4,869,249 / $3,568,369 COH; Trone Garriott $5,293,773 / $3,859,683. CLF Des Moines $4.5M; HMP $3,465,000.

Seat

Incumbent Zach Nunn (R), 51.8% in 2024 (PVI R+2)

Notable

Trump endorsed Nunn 06-01. Win It Back's $3.78M IA-SEN buy shares the Des Moines market.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $3,500

Jay Feely (R) vs. Amish Shah (D) vs. Monica Alponte (L)

Ratings

Cook Toss Up; Sabato Toss-up; IE Toss-up

Newest public polling

post-primary head-to-head: NOT FOUND

Reported money

FEC 07-01: Feely $2,525,520 / $794,475 COH; Shah $1,830,193 / $401,745. CLF Phoenix $5.8M; HMP $7.67M.

Seat

Open — Schweikert ran for governor (14.4%, lost)

Notable

Trump dual-endorsed Feely and Swoboda 01-06.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $7,457

Mike Collins — Ossoff (D) vs. Collins (R) vs. Allen Buckley (L)

Ratings

Cook Lean D (08-20); Sabato Likely D (08-26); IE Tilt D (09-03)

Newest public polling

Trafalgar (R) 09-10..12 n=1,091: Ossoff 49.4 / Collins 42.8; InsiderAdvantage 08-16..17 n=800 LV: Ossoff 50 / Collins 43; AARP 07-13..16 n=1,060: Ossoff 52 / Collins 43

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Ossoff $97,986,263 raised / $42,587,451 COH; Collins $7,409,350 / $2,079,981

Seat

Incumbent Jon Ossoff (D)

Notable

Trump endorsed Collins two days before the runoff (06-14); Kemp backed Dooley. House ethics investigation into Collins's fund use referenced by CBS/AJC.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $526,627

Casey Askar (R) vs. Pia Dandiya (D)

Ratings

Cook Lean R (09-11); Sabato Leans R (09-10); IE Tilt R (09-10)

Newest public polling

Impact/Tulchin (D, HMP) 08-24..31: Dandiya 46 / Askar 44; Tavern (D) 08-10..12 n=551: 50/50

Reported money

FEC 07-29: Askar $2,567,760 / $1,048,396 COH; Dandiya $2,284,052 / $1,296,684

Seat

Open under the new map (Frankel moved to FL-23; Trump +10.47)

Notable

Trump endorses Askar. CFG's general posture here: NOT FOUND (neither name on the endorsed list now).

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $714,839

Pete Ricketts — Pete Ricketts (R) vs. Dan Osborn (I) vs. Mike Marvin (LMN); no Democrat (Burbank withdrew July to back Osborn)

Ratings

Cook Likely R (08-20); Sabato Likely R (08-26); IE Likely R (09-03)

Newest public polling

SurveyUSA 09-08..13 n=503 LV: Osborn 46 / Ricketts 42; Impact Research (D) 08-09..13 n=600 LV: 47/47; Tavern (D) 05-08..11 n=1,165: Osborn 47 / Ricketts 42

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Ricketts $11,233,507 raised / $6,910,970 COH; Osborn $5,751,951 / $2,421,487

Seat

Incumbent Pete Ricketts (R), first full term

Notable

Win It Back $2M anti-Osborn buy announced 2026-09-09 ('Social Security benefits and amnesty to illegal aliens'). Trump endorsed Ricketts 2025-04-10. Republicans have not lost a NE Senate race since 2006; every public poll since May shows a tie or Osborn lead.

Club network

general IE $2,059,628; primary-era $19,589

Nick Begich — Begich (R) vs. Bill Hill (I, endorsed by Alaska Democratic Party 09-01) vs. Eric Hafner (D, in federal prison) vs. Jim McDermott (L)

Ratings

Cook Likely R (09-11 list); Sabato Likely R (09-10); IE Likely R (09-10)

Newest public polling

GBAO (D, Hill) 08-03..05 n=500: Begich 46 / Hill 42; Data for Progress 07-28..08-04 n=605: Begich 47 / Hill 37; Tavern (D) May: Begich 52 / Hill 48 (RCV)

Reported money

FEC 07-29: Begich $5,470,446 raised / $3,119,158 COH; Hill $1,336,292 / $515,886. HMP reserved $2.4M Alaska; CLF none.

Seat

Incumbent Nick Begich III (R), 51.22% in 2024

Notable

CFG Action 'Climb' ad (09-09) hits Hill on the One Big Beautiful Bill; 'part of a $1.2 million investment'. Trump endorsed Begich 2025-05-08. Peltola is running for Senate (49.54% in the Senate primary), not House.

Club network

general IE $1,232,225; primary-era $32,531

Eli Crane — Crane (R) vs. Jonathan Nez (D, 2024 nominee) vs. Curtis Goodwin (L)

Ratings

Cook Likely R (09-11); Sabato Likely R (09-10); IE Likely R (09-10)

Newest public polling

GBAO (D, Nez) 08-21..24 n=500: Crane 46 / Nez 44; Peak Insights (R, Crane) 08-17..20 n=400: Crane 53 / Nez 42

Reported money

FEC 07-01: Crane $9,481,428 raised / $2,841,745 COH; Nez $3,519,760 / $1,910,990

Seat

Incumbent Eli Crane (R), 54.5% in 2024 (PVI R+7)

Notable

Trump endorsed Crane 07-10. On DCCC Districts in Play. CFG: 'expected to face a well-funded challenge in one of House Democrats' top target districts'.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $29,478

Luna — Luna (R) vs. Leela Gray (D, ret. Army brig. gen.) vs. Tony D'Arrigo (NPA)

Ratings

Cook Likely R (09-11); Sabato Likely R (09-10); IE Likely R (09-03)

Newest public polling

Hart (D, HMP) 08-25..27 n=500 LV: Gray 51 / Luna 46 two-way; Fabrizio Lee (R, Luna) 08-04..06 n=400: Luna 49 / Gray 41; GQR (D, Gray) 08-04..06 n=500: Luna 47 / Gray 44

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Luna $2,988,238 raised / $1,455,366 COH; Gray COH $500,235 (03-31)

Seat

Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna (R), 54.8% in 2024; new map +13.26 Trump

Notable

Trump endorsed Luna (2025-04). Gray: DCCC Red to Blue, EMILY's List, VoteVets. HMP engaged.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $25,110

Ryan Elijah (R) vs. Bale Dalton (D) vs. Christopher Dennison (L)

Ratings

Cook Likely R (08-13); Sabato Likely R; IE Likely R

Newest public polling

PPP (D, Dalton) 05-20..21: Dalton 41 / Mills 39 (pre-primary)

Reported money

FEC 07-29: Dalton $1,378,109 / $475,858 COH; Elijah $355,955 / $186,155; Mills debts $2,032,101 (bulk weball)

Seat

Open in effect — Cory Mills (R) lost the primary

Notable

Trump: 'I told Congressman Cory Mills … to get out of the Race'; endorsed Elijah post-primary. House Ethics investigation of Mills.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $3,639

Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) vs. Nancy Lacore (D)

Ratings

Cook Likely R (06-18); Sabato Likely R; IE Likely R (08-26)

Newest public polling

GQR (D, HMP) 07-15..22 n=400: Honeycutt 43 / Lacore 41

Reported money

FEC 06-03: Lacore $1,633,139 / $279,496 COH; Honeycutt $383,231 / $48,081

Seat

Open — Nancy Mace ran for governor (5th, 12.13%)

Notable

Trump endorsed Honeycutt 07-13.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $3,639

Barry Moore — Moore (R) vs. Everett Wess (D) vs. Craig Jelks (I)

Ratings

Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

'yes. every kid.' 07-11 n=601 LV: Moore 47 / Wess 32 (aggregator only)

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Moore $3,787,330 / $627,788 COH; Wess $83,341 / $0

Seat

Open — Tuberville running for governor

Notable

Trump endorsed (Jan 2026). The $3.875M to Alabama Freedom Fund is a transfer, not a Schedule E line — verify AFF's own IEs before counting it as spend on Moore.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $3,891,667

Harriet Hageman — Hageman (R) vs. James Byrd (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

NOT FOUND

Reported money

FEC 07-29: Hageman $2,435,023 / $915,369 COH; Byrd $22,559 / $356

Seat

Open — Lummis retiring

Notable

Trump switched endorsement from Lummis to Hageman (Dec 2025).

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $36,423

Kurt Alme — Alme (R) vs. Alani Bankhead (D) vs. Seth Bodnar (I, ex-UM president) vs. Kyle Austin (L)

Ratings

Cook Solid R (08-20); Sabato Safe R (08-26); IE Solid R (09-03); DDHQ/RCP Likely R

Newest public polling

Rutgers-Eagleton/MTFP 08-27..09-07 n=845 RV: Alme 38 / Bodnar 30 / Bankhead 16; Peak Insights (Alme) 08-23..25: Alme 44 / Bodnar 22 / Bankhead 19; Hart (D, Forward Montana) 08-01..04: Alme 45 / Bodnar 30 / Bankhead 15 (head-to-head 46-46)

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Alme $1,984,860 / $1,450,718 COH; Bodnar $3,238,150 / $977,779; Bankhead $58,829

Seat

Open — Daines withdrew 03-05 three minutes after Alme filed

Notable

Trump endorsed Alme 03-05. Bodnar is the live threat, not the Democrat.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $0

Alex Mealer — Mealer (R) vs. Leticia Gutierrez (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R (09-11; PVI R+9); Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R; DDHQ Likely R

Newest public polling

general: NOT FOUND

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Mealer $2,080,514 / $362,040 COH; Gutierrez $55,358 / $18,658

Seat

Open — relocated by the 2025 map to east Harris + Liberty (Trump 59.5%)

Notable

Trump endorsed Mealer 02-16. Map upheld by SCOTUS summary reversal 04-27 (No. 25-845).

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $2,152,364

Van Epps — Van Epps (R) vs. Darden Copeland (D; Behn did not run)

Ratings

Cook Solid R (09-11; race page shows a Likely R entry 12-03-2025); Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

general: NOT FOUND

Reported money

FEC 03-31: Van Epps $1,982,057 / $135,155 COH

Seat

Incumbent Matt Van Epps (R) — won the 12-02-2025 special 53.90% over Aftyn Behn; nearly half the district new after the May 2026 map

Notable

Trump re-endorsed 08-06. School Freedom Fund → 'Tennessee Freedom Fund' (non-federal) $4.81M in 2026 (TN-GOV).

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $1,352,830

Clay Fuller — Fuller (R) vs. Shawn Harris (D) vs. Andrew Underwood (L)

Ratings

Cook Solid R (PVI R+19); Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

general: NOT FOUND

Reported money

FEC 04-29: Harris $7,898,796 raised vs Fuller $1,669,692; Fuller COH $70,518 (06-30)

Seat

Incumbent Clay Fuller (R) — won the 04-07 special runoff after Greene resigned; sworn in 04-14

Notable

Trump endorsed 02-05. Cook: Democrats 'notched a 25-point overperformance in the blood-red seat' in the special.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $529,106

David Flippo — Flippo (R) vs. Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) vs. Lynn Chapman (IAP)

Ratings

Cook Solid R (09-11); Sabato Safe R (09-10); IE Likely R (09-10, first change since Amodei)

Newest public polling

GBAO (D) 08-31..09-03 n=500 LV: Benitez-Thompson 38 / Flippo 37 / Chapman 14; Strategies 360 (D) 08-22..26 n=400: Flippo 45 / B-T 42; Wedgewood 07-09..12 n=350: B-T 48 / Flippo 46

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Flippo $2,275,392 raised ($1.6M personal loan) / $117,883 COH; Benitez-Thompson $257,087 / $140,607

Seat

Open — Mark Amodei (R) retired 02-06 (Washoe + rural NV; Trump +14)

Notable

Trump endorsed Flippo 05-29; Amodei said Trump 'made a mistake' and will not endorse Flippo in the general; Gov. Lombardo backs Flippo. No personal financial disclosure filed (Nevada Independent). DCCC Districts in Play.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $399,963

Jon Bonck — Bonck (R) vs. Melissa McDonough (D, 2024 nominee) vs. Alex McMenemy (G)

Ratings

Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

general: NOT FOUND

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Bonck $1,644,127 (loans $330,000) / $89,133 COH; McDonough $66,929 / $43,939

Seat

Open — Wesley Hunt ran for Senate (3rd, 13.5%) (Trump 59.6%)

Notable

Trump endorsed 02-16. Runoff attack: mortgage loans to undocumented immigrants (denied).

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $359,203

Mark Lamb — Lamb (R) vs. Elizabeth 'Nurse Lee' Lee (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

general: NOT FOUND

Reported money

FEC 07-01: Lamb $1,222,217 / $243,426 COH

Seat

Open — Biggs won the governor primary (Trump 59.5%)

Notable

Trump endorsed 2025-11-04. Arizona Republic allegations (explicit messages; residency — Tennessee ranch) denied by the campaign.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $276,358

Jim Kingston — Kingston (R) vs. Amanda Hollowell (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

general: NOT FOUND

Reported money

FEC 04-29: Kingston $1,862,606 / $949,215 COH; Hollowell $135,436 / $18,243

Seat

Open — Buddy Carter ran for Senate (Trump 58-42)

Notable

Trump endorsed (reported 05-11). Residency questions (Atlanta condo) and father Jack Kingston's lobbying raised by rivals.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $274,865

Mark Teixeira — Teixeira (R) vs. Kristin Hook (D, 2024 nominee)

Ratings

Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

general: NOT FOUND

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Teixeira $3,922,216 raised (candidate loans $2,750,000 = debts) / $382,201 COH; Hook $243,839 / $104,069

Seat

Open — Chip Roy ran for AG and lost the 05-26 runoff to Mayes Middleton (Trump 60.4%)

Notable

Trump endorsed 02-04 ('TOTAL WINNER'). Residency ('moved back to Texas in 2021') and self-funding attacks in the primary.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $268,738

Chris Gober — Gober (R) vs. Caitlin Rourk (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

general: NOT FOUND

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Gober $2,559,185 raised (candidate loans $1,625,000; debts $750,000) / $119,627 COH; Rourk $363,959 / $92,140

Seat

Open — McCaul retiring (Trump 60.7%)

Notable

Trump endorsed Dec 2025. Gober was America PAC's chief lawyer in 2024 and represented the Texas GOP delegation in the 2025 redistricting.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $259,120

Blake Miguez — 10 filers (LA SOS): Miguez (R), Rick Edmonds (R), Chauna Banks (D), Rubia Garcia (D, LA Dem Party endorsed), Pat Forbes (D), Larry Davis III (R), Appeaning (R), Mebruer (R), Wagley (R), Rufus Craig (L)

Ratings

Cook Solid R (09-11); Sabato Safe R (flip); IE Solid R (flip)

Newest public polling

Rigamer/BDPC 08-12..13 n=500 RV: Banks 19 / Edmonds 16 / Miguez 9 / Forbes 8 / undecided 40

Reported money

FEC 07-18: Miguez $6,612,410 raised (~$3M self-loans) / $2,032,592 COH; Edmonds $530,592 / $323,040

Seat

New open seat under the post-Callais map (Trump +30; Fields withdrew)

Notable

Trump has NOT re-endorsed Miguez in LA-6 (WAFB 08-10). 2007 police-report allegation story (The Advocate 03-12; no charges; campaign: 'categorically false'). R-vs-R runoff Miguez–Edmonds is the live scenario.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $12,907

Tim Moore — Moore (R) vs. LaKesha Womack (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

Ragnar (R, Conservatives For America) 03-10..12 n=400: Moore 48 / Womack 40

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Moore $1,538,952 / $1,581,992 COH; Womack $24,888 / $0

Seat

Incumbent Tim Moore (R), 58.1% in 2024

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $10,500

Chuck Gray — Gray (R) vs. Lisa Kinney (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

NOT FOUND

Reported money

FEC 07-29: Gray $1,621,197 ($1,147,000 self-funded) / $240,146 COH

Seat

Open — Hageman to Senate

Notable

Trump primary endorsement: NOT FOUND.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $2,725

McClintock — McClintock (R) vs. Michael Masuda (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R (post-Prop-50 PVI not recalculated by Cook)

Newest public polling

NOT FOUND

Reported money

FEC 06-30: McClintock $928,788 / $201,472 COH; Masuda $361,735 / $89,452

Seat

Incumbent Tom McClintock (R) under the Prop 50 map

Notable

Trump endorsed 06-01.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $250

Mike Mazzei — Mike Mazzei (R) vs. Cyndi Munson (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R (09-10); Sabato Safe R; Race to the WH Likely R (08-31)

Newest public polling

General Mazzei-vs-Munson: NOT FOUND (only runoff polls)

Reported money

SFF Oklahoma receipts $3,560,000.06 through 07-31 (all transfers from CFG Action / SFF); expenditures $8,885,183.61 through 08-25 (Guardian bulk). CFG Action's FEC Schedule B shows the same $3.55M to 'SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND OKLAHOMA'.

Seat

Open — Stitt term-limited

Notable

Trump endorsed Mazzei 05-29 and called Drummond a 'FAKE Republican' (08-13). Drummond sued SFF Oklahoma for defamation (May); SFFO moved to dismiss 06-02.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $8,859,996

Andy Barr (R) vs. Charles Booker (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

GSG (D) 08-24..27 n=600: Barr 49 / Booker 40

Reported money

FEC 06-30: Barr $9,981,055 / $2,305,546 COH; Booker $1,099,509 / $309,623

Seat

Open — McConnell retiring

Notable

Trump endorsed Barr ~05-01. LPM: Win It Back 'entirely funded by Pennsylvania finance billionaire Jeff Yass'; $48M spent in the GOP primary through 03-31.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $4,475,791

Rick Brattin — Cleaver (D) vs. Brattin (R) vs. Randy Langkraehr (L)

Ratings

Cook Solid D (changed 09-11); Sabato Safe D (09-10); IE Solid D (09-10)

Newest public polling

NOT FOUND

Reported money

FEC 07-15: Brattin $331,764 / $222,510 COH; Burks $1,154,910

Seat

Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver (D); 2025 map enjoined by MO Supreme Court 09-03, SCOTUS stayed the federal TRO 09-10 → 2022 map (Harris 61-37)

Notable

Trump endorsed Brattin 08-03 after early voting closed. Proposition A (veto referendum on the map) is on the 11-03 ballot. Further R spending here is low-value.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $2,343,554

Jim Schwartzel (R) vs. Victor Arias (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

NOT FOUND

Reported money

Collins self-funded $2.61M of $3.41M; Schwartzel $1.0M of $2.07M

Seat

Open — Donalds running for governor (Trump +30)

Notable

Trump endorsed Lauf 08-13 and she lost; Collins (2019 insider-trading resignation, pardoned 2020) was 'Anybody but Chris' target.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $1,317,991

Mark Tedford (R) vs. John Croisant (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R (PVI R+11); Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

NOT FOUND

Reported money

FEC 05-27: Tedford $1,448,254 / $515,723 COH; Lahmeyer $350,151; Croisant $124,218

Seat

Open — Kevin Hern ran for Senate (won the 06-16 primary outright; CFG PAC endorsed)

Notable

Trump endorsed Lahmeyer (05-07), then flipped to Tedford 06-17. No CFG statement on the withdrawal; Tedford is not on the endorsed list.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $482,735

Jessi Ebben — Michael Alfonso (R, Trump-endorsed; Duffy's son-in-law) vs. Fred Clark (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

NOT FOUND

Reported money

Ebben raised $528K; pro-Ebben Northwoods PAC (Elizabeth Uihlein $1.5M) ≈$949,881 IEs; pro-Alfonso Northwoods Future PAC (Duffy $1.5M, Richard Uihlein $1M) ≈$2,239,750

Seat

Open — Tiffany running for governor (Trump 60-38)

Notable

Ebben's WEC ballot challenges against rivals were rejected unanimously (06-10).

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $49,302

Brent Taylor (R) vs. Justin J. Pearson (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R (09-11); Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R; DCCC 'seats in play'

Newest public polling

Hart (D, TN Rise PAC) 09-01..03 n=400 LV: Taylor 48 / Pearson 44

Reported money

FEC 07-25: Taylor $1,549,482 / $417,377 COH; Warner $639,617

Seat

Open — Cohen (D) withdrew after the 9-0 map (district −42.66 → +21.15 Trump)

Notable

Lowest GOP lean in the state (R+9). Trump endorsed Taylor 07-13.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $20,448

Charlie Hatcher (R) vs. Chaz Molder (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

Impact (D, Molder) 08-19..24 n=500: Hatcher 48 / Molder 40

Reported money

Molder $2.6M raised / ~$1.5M COH vs Hatcher $186,563 COH (Lookout)

Seat

Open in effect — Andy Ogles (R) lost the primary 46.8-53.2

Notable

Trump endorsed Ogles (10-27-2025) and did a tele-rally; Ogles lost anyway.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $3,639

Blake Miguez — Julia Letlow (R) vs. Jamie Davis (D)

Ratings

Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R

Newest public polling

PPP (Davis campaign) 07-21..22 n=518 RV: Letlow 41 / Davis 37

Reported money

Letlow ~$6M raised; Davis ~$2M (Verite 09-08)

Seat

Cassidy (R) lost renomination (3rd, 24.8%)

Notable

Trump endorsed Letlow 01-18.

Club network

general IE $0; primary-era $0