The Conservative Ledger / Current races Current races Contests ranked by what is actually at stake rather than by who is spending. The rating in each row is the raters' own current call; the polls are the newest public ones with their field dates; the money is what the committees reported. Nothing here is forecast and no win probability is modelled.
Data as of Sep 15, 2026 — the day this board was last measured; each row prints its own poll field dates and filing dates.
No contest on the board matches that state and office.
How to support a conservative candidate Give time, not only money. Every one of these races is decided by whether a ballot that was already mailed comes back — and the people who chase those ballots are volunteers working from a county party's list. Start with the candidate's own campaign site, linked in each row. Then find your county Republican committee. If you can only do one thing: check your own registration, get on your state's permanent early or absentee list, and return the ballot the week it arrives. Stakes: Toss-up / Tilt · 12 AZ-GOV Arizona · Governor
Andy Biggs — Andy Biggs (R) vs. Katie Hobbs (D)
Ratings Cook Lean D; Sabato Leans D; Inside Elections Tilt D Newest public polling Nine post-primary public polls, median Hobbs +5.0; newest field date Aug 19, 2026 — nothing published measures the race since Reported money Republican Leadership for Arizona $2,173,513 cash on hand (Jul 4 ); Biggs for Arizona $1,200,503 (Jul 21 ); Arizona Republican Party $1,114,887 (Jun 30 ) Seat Incumbent Katie Hobbs (D), first term Notable The 2022 margin was 17,117 votes of 2,558,665 — 0.67 points. Trump carried the state by 187,382 in 2024 while the Republican Senate candidate lost it. Atlas runs the full evidence base, path to victory and county board on this race. IA-SEN Iowa · U.S. Senate
Ashley Hinson — Ashley Hinson (R) vs. Josh Turek (D) vs. Thomas Laehn (L)
Ratings Cook Toss Up (Aug 20 ); Sabato Lean R (Aug 26 ); IE Tilt R (Aug 6 ) Newest public polling Rasmussen Sep 8–10 n=1,031 LV: Turek 45 / Hinson 40; YouGov Sep 3–8 n=2,169 RV: Turek 44 / Hinson 43; Emerson Aug 31–Sep 1 n=750 LV: Hinson 50 / Turek 45 Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Hinson $10,217,845 raised / $6,749,491 COH; Turek $6,276,527 / $2,362,314 Seat Open — Joni Ernst (R) retiring (announced Sep 2, 2025 ) Notable Trump endorsed Hinson (Sep 5, 2025 ). No CFG release names Iowa; the $3.78M anti-Turek buy is FEC-reported only. Trump +13 state in 2024 (Rasmussen). Club network general IE $3,775,830 TX-SEN Texas · U.S. Senate
Ken Paxton — Paxton (R) vs. James Talarico (D) vs. Ted Brown (L)
Ratings Cook Toss Up (Aug 20 ); Sabato Toss-up (Aug 26 ); IE Lean R (Sep 3 ) Newest public polling SoCal Strategies Sep 12–13 n=649 LV: Talarico 50 / Paxton 45; InsiderAdvantage Sep 8–9 n=1,200 LV: Talarico 47 / Paxton 46; AARP (Fabrizio/Impact) Aug 30–Sep 1 n=895 LV: Talarico 48 / Paxton 44 Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Paxton $9,248,699 raised / $1,755,783 COH; Talarico $68,555,930 / $21,548,155 Seat Open in effect — Cornyn (R) lost renomination Notable Trump endorsed Paxton May 19 (filibuster commitment). No CFG general-election reservation found; Texas Tribune Sep 11 on GOP Senate super-PAC spending for Paxton does not mention CFG. Club network general IE $42,986; primary-era $8,651 OH-SEN (special) Ohio · U.S. Senate
Jon Husted — Husted (R) vs. Sherrod Brown (D) vs. Bill Redpath (L) vs. Greg Levy (I)
Ratings Cook Toss Up (Aug 20 ); Sabato Toss-up (Aug 26 ); IE Toss-up (Tilt R→Toss-up Sep 3 ) Newest public polling InsiderAdvantage (R) Sep 8–9 n=1,200 LV: Brown 47 / Husted 42; Abacus Aug 26–28 n=306: Brown 52 / Husted 46; Fox News Aug 6–10 n=1,008 RV: Brown 53 / Husted 45 Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Husted $14,360,028 raised / $9,419,311 COH; Brown $38,566,234 / $16,229,741 Seat Appointed incumbent Jon Husted (R) — Vance seat Notable Trump endorsed Husted Apr 9, 2025 . Every public poll since June shows Brown ahead. Club network primary-era $250,340 ME-SEN Maine · U.S. Senate
Susan Collins — Susan Collins (R) vs. Troy Jackson (D)
Ratings Cook Toss Up; Sabato Toss-up; Inside Elections Tilt Republican (as read Sep 15, 2026 ) Newest public polling Newest public poll: Jackson +1.0 (Rasmussen Reports, Sep 10, 2026 ); 38 general-election polls tracked Reported money FEC: Collins cash on hand $11,038,115 (as read Sep 15, 2026 ) Seat Sen. Susan Collins (R), incumbent Notable Measured on the Ledger's Senate battleground board, Sep 15, 2026 . MI-SEN Michigan · U.S. Senate
Mike Rogers — Mike Rogers (R) vs. Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Ratings Cook Toss Up; Sabato Toss-up; Inside Elections Toss-up (as read Sep 15, 2026 ) Newest public polling Newest public poll: El-Sayed +1.0 (Trafalgar Group, Sep 10, 2026 ); 20 general-election polls tracked Reported money FEC: Rogers cash on hand $4,473,237 (as read Sep 15, 2026 ) Seat Open — Sen. Gary Peters (D) retiring Notable Measured on the Ledger's Senate battleground board, Sep 15, 2026 . OH-9 Ohio · U.S. House
Derek Merrin — Kaptur (D) vs. Merrin (R) vs. Matthew Althaus (L)
Ratings Cook Toss Up (Lean R→Toss Up Jan 15 ); Sabato Toss-up (Sep 10 ); IE Tilt R (Sep 10 ) Newest public polling McLaughlin (R, NRCC) Apr 18–20 n=400 LV: Merrin 47 / Kaptur 43; no nonpartisan general poll found Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Kaptur $4,303,416 raised / $3,491,668 COH; Merrin $1,508,953 / $531,214. CLF Toledo $3.6M; HMP Toledo $3,067,500. Seat Incumbent Marcy Kaptur (D), 48.3% in 2024; redrawn 2025 (Trump 55-44 under new lines) Notable Trump endorsed Merrin May 21 (stayed out of the primary). 2024 rematch: Kaptur 181,098 vs Merrin 178,716 on old lines. Club network general IE $706,277; primary-era $2,756 MI-7 Michigan · U.S. House
Tom Barrett — Barrett (R) vs. William Lawrence (D, Sunrise Movement co-founder)
Ratings Cook Toss Up (Sep 11 ); Sabato Toss-up (Sep 10 ); IE Toss-up (Sep 10 ) Newest public polling GSG (D, HMP) Aug 11–13 n=500 LV: Lawrence 49 / Barrett 47; Data for Progress Jun 24–30 n=772: Lawrence 48 / Barrett 46 Reported money FEC Jul 15 : Barrett $6,306,828 raised / $2,871,872 COH; Lawrence $1,119,198 / $383,116 Seat Incumbent Tom Barrett (R), 50.3% in 2024 (Lansing metro + Livingston) Notable McIntosh Sep 4 : Lawrence 'focused on emulating Zohran Mamdani and other Socialists'. Trump endorsed Barrett. DCCC's chosen candidate (Brink) lost the primary. Club network general IE $597,506 FL-14 Florida · U.S. House
Mike Beltran — Castor (D) vs. Beltran (R)
Ratings Cook Toss Up (Lean R→Toss Up Aug 25 ); Sabato Toss-up (Sep 10 ); IE Tilt R (Sep 3 ) Newest public polling St. Pete Polls Jul 14–15 n=469 LV: Castor 46 / Beltran 38 (pre-primary; no post-primary poll found) Reported money FEC Jul 29 : Castor $2,337,125 raised / $1,744,723 COH; Beltran $2,116,747 / $1,939,864 Seat Incumbent Kathy Castor (D) — district redrawn 2026 (Trump margin −7.64 → +10.47; all Hillsborough) Notable Trump, DeSantis, NRCC chair Hudson and Freedom Caucus Fund endorse Beltran. New map litigation ongoing but in force (FL Supreme Court denied emergency petition Jun 10 ). Club network general IE $455,986 PA-10 Pennsylvania · U.S. House
Scott Perry — Perry (R) vs. Janelle Stelson (D, 2024 nominee)
Ratings Cook Toss Up (Sep 11 ); Sabato Toss-up (Sep 10 ); IE Toss-up (Sep 10 ) Newest public polling Normington Petts (D, Stelson) Apr 20–23 n=400 RV: Stelson 51 / Perry 45; PPP (Republicans Against Perry) Nov 18–19, 2025 : Perry −7 vs generic D; no nonpartisan poll Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Perry $5,194,925 raised / $2,845,976 COH; Stelson $6,364,069 / $4,478,639. CLF Harrisburg $2.9M; HMP $3,474,000. Seat Incumbent Scott Perry (R), 50.6% in 2024 (Harrisburg–York, PVI R+3) Notable Trump endorsed Perry Mar 27, 2025 . Debate Oct 14 (ABC27). Perry won in 2024 by about 1 point (50.6–49.4, a margin of 5,133 votes per City & State PA, May 19, 2026 ). Club network general IE $325,719; primary-era $49,892 IA-3 Iowa · U.S. House
Zach Nunn — Nunn (R) vs. Sarah Trone Garriott (D)
Ratings Cook Toss Up (Jan 15 ); Sabato Toss-up (Sep 10 ); IE Toss-up (Sep 10 ) Newest public polling Ragnar (R, Conservatives For America) Mar 12–14 n=400: Nunn 48 / Trone Garriott 42; no nonpartisan general poll Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Nunn $4,869,249 / $3,568,369 COH; Trone Garriott $5,293,773 / $3,859,683. CLF Des Moines $4.5M; HMP $3,465,000. Seat Incumbent Zach Nunn (R), 51.8% in 2024 (PVI R+2) Notable Trump endorsed Nunn Jun 1 . Win It Back's $3.78M IA-SEN buy shares the Des Moines market. Club network primary-era $3,500 AZ-1 Arizona · U.S. House
Jay Feely (R) vs. Amish Shah (D) vs. Monica Alponte (L)
Ratings Cook Toss Up; Sabato Toss-up; IE Toss-up Newest public polling post-primary head-to-head: NOT FOUND Reported money FEC Jul 1 : Feely $2,525,520 / $794,475 COH; Shah $1,830,193 / $401,745. CLF Phoenix $5.8M; HMP $7.67M. Seat Open — Schweikert ran for governor (14.4%, lost) Notable Trump dual-endorsed Feely and Swoboda Jan 6 . Club network primary-era $7,457 Stakes: Lean · 4 GA-SEN Georgia · U.S. Senate
Mike Collins — Ossoff (D) vs. Collins (R) vs. Allen Buckley (L)
Ratings Cook Lean D (Aug 20 ); Sabato Likely D (Aug 26 ); IE Tilt D (Sep 3 ) Newest public polling Trafalgar (R) Sep 10–12 n=1,091: Ossoff 49.4 / Collins 42.8; InsiderAdvantage Aug 16–17 n=800 LV: Ossoff 50 / Collins 43; AARP Jul 13–16 n=1,060: Ossoff 52 / Collins 43 Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Ossoff $97,986,263 raised / $42,587,451 COH; Collins $7,409,350 / $2,079,981 Seat Incumbent Jon Ossoff (D) Notable Trump endorsed Collins two days before the runoff (Jun 14 ); Kemp backed Dooley. House ethics investigation into Collins's fund use referenced by CBS/AJC. Club network primary-era $526,627 NH-SEN New Hampshire · U.S. Senate
John E. Sununu — John E. Sununu (R) vs. Chris Pappas (D)
Ratings Cook Lean Democrat; Sabato Leans Democrat; Inside Elections Toss-up (as read Sep 15, 2026 ) Newest public polling Newest public poll: Sununu +0.0 (co/efficient, Sep 11, 2026 ); 14 general-election polls tracked Reported money FEC: Sununu cash on hand $3,070,033 (as read Sep 15, 2026 ) Seat Open — Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) retiring Notable Measured on the Ledger's Senate battleground board, Sep 15, 2026 . NC-SEN North Carolina · U.S. Senate
Michael Whatley — Michael Whatley (R) vs. Roy Cooper (D)
Ratings Cook Lean D (moved from Toss Up on Apr 13, 2026 ); Sabato Leans Democratic (moved from Toss-up on Jun 11, 2026 ); Inside Elections Tilt Democratic (as read Sep 15, 2026 ) Newest public polling Newest public poll: Cooper +5.9 (Trafalgar Group, Sep 10, 2026 ); 28 general-election polls tracked Reported money FEC: Whatley cash on hand $3,461,698 (as read Sep 15, 2026 ) Seat Open — Sen. Thom Tillis (R) retired Notable Measured on the Ledger's Senate battleground board, Sep 15, 2026 . FL-22 Florida · U.S. House
Casey Askar (R) vs. Pia Dandiya (D)
Ratings Cook Lean R (Sep 11 ); Sabato Leans R (Sep 10 ); IE Tilt R (Sep 10 ) Newest public polling Impact/Tulchin (D, HMP) Aug 24–31 : Dandiya 46 / Askar 44; Tavern (D) Aug 10–12 n=551: 50/50 Reported money FEC Jul 29 : Askar $2,567,760 / $1,048,396 COH; Dandiya $2,284,052 / $1,296,684 Seat Open under the new map (Frankel moved to FL-23; Trump +10.47) Notable Trump endorses Askar. CFG's general posture here: NOT FOUND (neither name on the endorsed list now). Club network primary-era $714,839 Stakes: Likely · 6 NE-SEN Nebraska · U.S. Senate
Pete Ricketts — Pete Ricketts (R) vs. Dan Osborn (I) vs. Mike Marvin (LMN); no Democrat (Burbank withdrew July to back Osborn)
Ratings Cook Likely R (Aug 20 ); Sabato Likely R (Aug 26 ); IE Likely R (Sep 3 ) Newest public polling SurveyUSA Sep 8–13 n=503 LV: Osborn 46 / Ricketts 42; Impact Research (D) Aug 9–13 n=600 LV: 47/47; Tavern (D) May 8–11 n=1,165: Osborn 47 / Ricketts 42 Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Ricketts $11,233,507 raised / $6,910,970 COH; Osborn $5,751,951 / $2,421,487 Seat Incumbent Pete Ricketts (R), first full term Notable Win It Back $2M anti-Osborn buy announced Sep 9, 2026 ('Social Security benefits and amnesty to illegal aliens'). Trump endorsed Ricketts Apr 10, 2025 . Republicans have not lost a NE Senate race since 2006; every public poll since May shows a tie or Osborn lead. Club network general IE $2,059,628; primary-era $19,589 AK-AL Alaska · U.S. House
Nick Begich — Begich (R) vs. Bill Hill (I, endorsed by Alaska Democratic Party Sep 1 ) vs. Eric Hafner (D, in federal prison) vs. Jim McDermott (L)
Ratings Cook Likely R (Sep 11 list); Sabato Likely R (Sep 10 ); IE Likely R (Sep 10 ) Newest public polling GBAO (D, Hill) Aug 3–5 n=500: Begich 46 / Hill 42; Data for Progress Jul 28–Aug 4 n=605: Begich 47 / Hill 37; Tavern (D) May: Begich 52 / Hill 48 (RCV) Reported money FEC Jul 29 : Begich $5,470,446 raised / $3,119,158 COH; Hill $1,336,292 / $515,886. HMP reserved $2.4M Alaska; CLF none. Seat Incumbent Nick Begich III (R), 51.22% in 2024 Notable CFG Action 'Climb' ad (Sep 9 ) hits Hill on the One Big Beautiful Bill; 'part of a $1.2 million investment'. Trump endorsed Begich May 8, 2025 . Peltola is running for Senate (49.54% in the Senate primary), not House. Club network general IE $1,232,225; primary-era $32,531 AZ-2 Arizona · U.S. House
Eli Crane — Crane (R) vs. Jonathan Nez (D, 2024 nominee) vs. Curtis Goodwin (L)
Ratings Cook Likely R (Sep 11 ); Sabato Likely R (Sep 10 ); IE Likely R (Sep 10 ) Newest public polling GBAO (D, Nez) Aug 21–24 n=500: Crane 46 / Nez 44; Peak Insights (R, Crane) Aug 17–20 n=400: Crane 53 / Nez 42 Reported money FEC Jul 1 : Crane $9,481,428 raised / $2,841,745 COH; Nez $3,519,760 / $1,910,990 Seat Incumbent Eli Crane (R), 54.5% in 2024 (PVI R+7) Notable Trump endorsed Crane Jul 10 . On DCCC Districts in Play. CFG: 'expected to face a well-funded challenge in one of House Democrats' top target districts'. Club network primary-era $29,478 FL-13 Florida · U.S. House
Luna — Luna (R) vs. Leela Gray (D, ret. Army brig. gen.) vs. Tony D'Arrigo (NPA)
Ratings Cook Likely R (Sep 11 ); Sabato Likely R (Sep 10 ); IE Likely R (Sep 3 ) Newest public polling Hart (D, HMP) Aug 25–27 n=500 LV: Gray 51 / Luna 46 two-way; Fabrizio Lee (R, Luna) Aug 4–6 n=400: Luna 49 / Gray 41; GQR (D, Gray) Aug 4–6 n=500: Luna 47 / Gray 44 Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Luna $2,988,238 raised / $1,455,366 COH; Gray COH $500,235 (Mar 31 ) Seat Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna (R), 54.8% in 2024; new map +13.26 Trump Notable Trump endorsed Luna (Apr 2025 ). Gray: DCCC Red to Blue, EMILY's List, VoteVets. HMP engaged. Club network primary-era $25,110 FL-7 Florida · U.S. House
Ryan Elijah (R) vs. Bale Dalton (D) vs. Christopher Dennison (L)
Ratings Cook Likely R (Aug 13 ); Sabato Likely R; IE Likely R Newest public polling PPP (D, Dalton) May 20–21 : Dalton 41 / Mills 39 (pre-primary) Reported money FEC Jul 29 : Dalton $1,378,109 / $475,858 COH; Elijah $355,955 / $186,155; Mills debts $2,032,101 (bulk weball) Seat Open in effect — Cory Mills (R) lost the primary Notable Trump: 'I told Congressman Cory Mills … to get out of the Race'; endorsed Elijah post-primary. House Ethics investigation of Mills. Club network primary-era $3,639 SC-1 South Carolina · U.S. House
Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) vs. Nancy Lacore (D)
Ratings Cook Likely R (Jun 18 ); Sabato Likely R; IE Likely R (Aug 26 ) Newest public polling GQR (D, HMP) Jul 15–22 n=400: Honeycutt 43 / Lacore 41 Reported money FEC Jun 3 : Lacore $1,633,139 / $279,496 COH; Honeycutt $383,231 / $48,081 Seat Open — Nancy Mace ran for governor (5th, 12.13%) Notable Trump endorsed Honeycutt Jul 13 . Club network primary-era $3,639 Stakes: Solid / Safe · 27 AL-SEN Alabama · U.S. Senate
Barry Moore — Moore (R) vs. Everett Wess (D) vs. Craig Jelks (I)
Ratings Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling 'yes. every kid.' Jul 11 n=601 LV: Moore 47 / Wess 32 (aggregator only) Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Moore $3,787,330 / $627,788 COH; Wess $83,341 / $0 Seat Open — Tuberville running for governor Notable Trump endorsed (Jan 2026). The $3.875M to Alabama Freedom Fund is a transfer, not a Schedule E line — verify AFF's own IEs before counting it as spend on Moore. Club network primary-era $3,891,667 WY-SEN Wyoming · U.S. Senate
Harriet Hageman — Hageman (R) vs. James Byrd (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling NOT FOUND Reported money FEC Jul 29 : Hageman $2,435,023 / $915,369 COH; Byrd $22,559 / $356 Seat Open — Lummis retiring Notable Trump switched endorsement from Lummis to Hageman (Dec 2025). Club network primary-era $36,423 MT-SEN Montana · U.S. Senate
Kurt Alme — Alme (R) vs. Alani Bankhead (D) vs. Seth Bodnar (I, ex-UM president) vs. Kyle Austin (L)
Ratings Cook Solid R (Aug 20 ); Sabato Safe R (Aug 26 ); IE Solid R (Sep 3 ); DDHQ/RCP Likely R Newest public polling Rutgers-Eagleton/MTFP Aug 27–Sep 7 n=845 RV: Alme 38 / Bodnar 30 / Bankhead 16; Peak Insights (Alme) Aug 23–25 : Alme 44 / Bodnar 22 / Bankhead 19; Hart (D, Forward Montana) Aug 1–4 : Alme 45 / Bodnar 30 / Bankhead 15 (head-to-head 46-46) Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Alme $1,984,860 / $1,450,718 COH; Bodnar $3,238,150 / $977,779; Bankhead $58,829 Seat Open — Daines withdrew Mar 5 three minutes after Alme filed Notable Trump endorsed Alme Mar 5 . Bodnar is the live threat, not the Democrat. TX-9 Texas · U.S. House
Alex Mealer — Mealer (R) vs. Leticia Gutierrez (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R (Sep 11 ; PVI R+9); Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R; DDHQ Likely R Newest public polling general: NOT FOUND Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Mealer $2,080,514 / $362,040 COH; Gutierrez $55,358 / $18,658 Seat Open — relocated by the 2025 map to east Harris + Liberty (Trump 59.5%) Notable Trump endorsed Mealer Feb 16 . Map upheld by SCOTUS summary reversal Apr 27 (No. 25-845). Club network primary-era $2,152,364 TN-7 Tennessee · U.S. House
Van Epps — Van Epps (R) vs. Darden Copeland (D; Behn did not run)
Ratings Cook Solid R (Sep 11 ; race page shows a Likely R entry Dec 3, 2025 ); Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling general: NOT FOUND Reported money FEC Mar 31 : Van Epps $1,982,057 / $135,155 COH Seat Incumbent Matt Van Epps (R) — won the Dec 2, 2025 special 53.90% over Aftyn Behn; nearly half the district new after the May 2026 map Notable Trump re-endorsed Aug 6 . School Freedom Fund → 'Tennessee Freedom Fund' (non-federal) $4.81M in 2026 (TN-GOV). Club network primary-era $1,352,830 GA-14 Georgia · U.S. House
Clay Fuller — Fuller (R) vs. Shawn Harris (D) vs. Andrew Underwood (L)
Ratings Cook Solid R (PVI R+19); Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling general: NOT FOUND Reported money FEC Apr 29 : Harris $7,898,796 raised vs Fuller $1,669,692; Fuller COH $70,518 (Jun 30 ) Seat Incumbent Clay Fuller (R) — won the Apr 7 special runoff after Greene resigned; sworn in Apr 14 Notable Trump endorsed Feb 5 . Cook: Democrats 'notched a 25-point overperformance in the blood-red seat' in the special. Club network primary-era $529,106 NV-2 Nevada · U.S. House
David Flippo — Flippo (R) vs. Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) vs. Lynn Chapman (IAP)
Ratings Cook Solid R (Sep 11 ); Sabato Safe R (Sep 10 ); IE Likely R (Sep 10 , first change since Amodei) Newest public polling GBAO (D) Aug 31–Sep 3 n=500 LV: Benitez-Thompson 38 / Flippo 37 / Chapman 14; Strategies 360 (D) Aug 22–26 n=400: Flippo 45 / B-T 42; Wedgewood Jul 9–12 n=350: B-T 48 / Flippo 46 Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Flippo $2,275,392 raised ($1.6M personal loan) / $117,883 COH; Benitez-Thompson $257,087 / $140,607 Seat Open — Mark Amodei (R) retired Feb 6 (Washoe + rural NV; Trump +14) Notable Trump endorsed Flippo May 29 ; Amodei said Trump 'made a mistake' and will not endorse Flippo in the general; Gov. Lombardo backs Flippo. No personal financial disclosure filed (Nevada Independent). DCCC Districts in Play. Club network primary-era $399,963 TX-38 Texas · U.S. House
Jon Bonck — Bonck (R) vs. Melissa McDonough (D, 2024 nominee) vs. Alex McMenemy (G)
Ratings Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling general: NOT FOUND Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Bonck $1,644,127 (loans $330,000) / $89,133 COH; McDonough $66,929 / $43,939 Seat Open — Wesley Hunt ran for Senate (3rd, 13.5%) (Trump 59.6%) Notable Trump endorsed Feb 16 . Runoff attack: mortgage loans to undocumented immigrants (denied). Club network primary-era $359,203 AZ-5 Arizona · U.S. House
Mark Lamb — Lamb (R) vs. Elizabeth 'Nurse Lee' Lee (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling general: NOT FOUND Reported money FEC Jul 1 : Lamb $1,222,217 / $243,426 COH Seat Open — Biggs won the governor primary (Trump 59.5%) Notable Trump endorsed Nov 4, 2025 . Arizona Republic allegations (explicit messages; residency — Tennessee ranch) denied by the campaign. Club network primary-era $276,358 GA-1 Georgia · U.S. House
Jim Kingston — Kingston (R) vs. Amanda Hollowell (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling general: NOT FOUND Reported money FEC Apr 29 : Kingston $1,862,606 / $949,215 COH; Hollowell $135,436 / $18,243 Seat Open — Buddy Carter ran for Senate (Trump 58-42) Notable Trump endorsed (reported May 11 ). Residency questions (Atlanta condo) and father Jack Kingston's lobbying raised by rivals. Club network primary-era $274,865 TX-21 Texas · U.S. House
Mark Teixeira — Teixeira (R) vs. Kristin Hook (D, 2024 nominee)
Ratings Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling general: NOT FOUND Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Teixeira $3,922,216 raised (candidate loans $2,750,000 = debts) / $382,201 COH; Hook $243,839 / $104,069 Seat Open — Chip Roy ran for AG and lost the May 26 runoff to Mayes Middleton (Trump 60.4%) Notable Trump endorsed Feb 4 ('TOTAL WINNER'). Residency ('moved back to Texas in 2021') and self-funding attacks in the primary. Club network primary-era $268,738 TX-10 Texas · U.S. House
Chris Gober — Gober (R) vs. Caitlin Rourk (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling general: NOT FOUND Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Gober $2,559,185 raised (candidate loans $1,625,000; debts $750,000) / $119,627 COH; Rourk $363,959 / $92,140 Seat Open — McCaul retiring (Trump 60.7%) Notable Trump endorsed Dec 2025. Gober was America PAC's chief lawyer in 2024 and represented the Texas GOP delegation in the 2025 redistricting. Club network primary-era $259,120 LA-6 Louisiana · U.S. House
Blake Miguez — 10 filers (LA SOS): Miguez (R), Rick Edmonds (R), Chauna Banks (D), Rubia Garcia (D, LA Dem Party endorsed), Pat Forbes (D), Larry Davis III (R), Appeaning (R), Mebruer (R), Wagley (R), Rufus Craig (L)
Ratings Cook Solid R (Sep 11 ); Sabato Safe R (flip); IE Solid R (flip) Newest public polling Rigamer/BDPC Aug 12–13 n=500 RV: Banks 19 / Edmonds 16 / Miguez 9 / Forbes 8 / undecided 40 Reported money FEC Jul 18 : Miguez $6,612,410 raised (~$3M self-loans) / $2,032,592 COH; Edmonds $530,592 / $323,040 Seat New open seat under the post-Callais map (Trump +30; Fields withdrew) Notable Trump has NOT re-endorsed Miguez in LA-6 (WAFB Aug 10 ). 2007 police-report allegation story (The Advocate Mar 12 ; no charges; campaign: 'categorically false'). R-vs-R runoff Miguez–Edmonds is the live scenario. Club network primary-era $12,907 NC-14 North Carolina · U.S. House
Tim Moore — Moore (R) vs. LaKesha Womack (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling Ragnar (R, Conservatives For America) Mar 10–12 n=400: Moore 48 / Womack 40 Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Moore $1,538,952 / $1,581,992 COH; Womack $24,888 / $0 Seat Incumbent Tim Moore (R), 58.1% in 2024 Club network primary-era $10,500 WY-AL Wyoming · U.S. House
Chuck Gray — Gray (R) vs. Lisa Kinney (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling NOT FOUND Reported money FEC Jul 29 : Gray $1,621,197 ($1,147,000 self-funded) / $240,146 COH Seat Open — Hageman to Senate Notable Trump primary endorsement: NOT FOUND. Club network primary-era $2,725 CA-5 California · U.S. House
McClintock — McClintock (R) vs. Michael Masuda (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R (post-Prop-50 PVI not recalculated by Cook) Newest public polling NOT FOUND Reported money FEC Jun 30 : McClintock $928,788 / $201,472 COH; Masuda $361,735 / $89,452 Seat Incumbent Tom McClintock (R) under the Prop 50 map Notable Trump endorsed Jun 1 . Club network primary-era $250 OK-GOV Oklahoma · Governor
Mike Mazzei — Mike Mazzei (R) vs. Cyndi Munson (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R (Sep 10 ); Sabato Safe R; Race to the WH Likely R (Aug 31 ) Newest public polling General Mazzei-vs-Munson: NOT FOUND (only runoff polls) Reported money SFF Oklahoma receipts $3,560,000.06 through Jul 31 (all transfers from CFG Action / SFF); expenditures $8,885,183.61 through Aug 25 (Guardian bulk). CFG Action's FEC Schedule B shows the same $3.55M to 'SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND OKLAHOMA'. Seat Open — Stitt term-limited Notable Trump endorsed Mazzei May 29 and called Drummond a 'FAKE Republican' (Aug 13 ). Drummond sued SFF Oklahoma for defamation (May); SFFO moved to dismiss Jun 2 . Club network primary-era $8,859,996 NJ-SEN New Jersey · U.S. Senate
Justin Murphy — Justin Murphy (R) vs. Cory Booker (D)
Ratings Cook Solid D; Sabato Safe D; Inside Elections Solid Democratic (as read Sep 15, 2026 ) Newest public polling Newest public poll: Booker +6.0 (StimSight Research, Sep 12, 2026 ); 3 general-election polls tracked Reported money FEC: Murphy cash on hand $123 (as read Sep 15, 2026 ) Seat Sen. Cory Booker (D), incumbent Notable Measured on the Ledger's Senate battleground board, Sep 15, 2026 . OR-SEN Oregon · U.S. Senate
David Brock Smith — David Brock Smith (R) vs. Jeff Merkley (D)
Ratings Cook Solid D; Sabato Safe D; Inside Elections Solid D (as read Sep 15, 2026 ) Newest public polling 1 general-election poll tracked Reported money FEC: Smith cash on hand $28,980 (as read Sep 15, 2026 ) Seat Sen. Jeff Merkley (D), incumbent Notable Measured on the Ledger's Senate battleground board, Sep 15, 2026 . KY-SEN Kentucky · U.S. Senate
Andy Barr (R) vs. Charles Booker (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling GSG (D) Aug 24–27 n=600: Barr 49 / Booker 40 Reported money FEC Jun 30 : Barr $9,981,055 / $2,305,546 COH; Booker $1,099,509 / $309,623 Seat Open — McConnell retiring Notable Trump endorsed Barr ~May 1 . LPM: Win It Back 'entirely funded by Pennsylvania finance billionaire Jeff Yass'; $48M spent in the GOP primary through Mar 31 . Club network primary-era $4,475,791 MO-5 Missouri · U.S. House
Rick Brattin — Cleaver (D) vs. Brattin (R) vs. Randy Langkraehr (L)
Ratings Cook Solid D (changed Sep 11 ); Sabato Safe D (Sep 10 ); IE Solid D (Sep 10 ) Newest public polling NOT FOUND Reported money FEC Jul 15 : Brattin $331,764 / $222,510 COH; Burks $1,154,910 Seat Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver (D); 2025 map enjoined by MO Supreme Court Sep 3 , SCOTUS stayed the federal TRO Sep 10 → 2022 map (Harris 61-37) Notable Trump endorsed Brattin Aug 3 after early voting closed. Proposition A (veto referendum on the map) is on the Nov 3 ballot. Further R spending here is low-value. Club network primary-era $2,343,554 FL-19 Florida · U.S. House
Jim Schwartzel (R) vs. Victor Arias (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling NOT FOUND Reported money Collins self-funded $2.61M of $3.41M; Schwartzel $1.0M of $2.07M Seat Open — Donalds running for governor (Trump +30) Notable Trump endorsed Lauf Aug 13 and she lost; Collins (2019 insider-trading resignation, pardoned 2020) was 'Anybody but Chris' target. Club network primary-era $1,317,991 OK-1 Oklahoma · U.S. House
Mark Tedford (R) vs. John Croisant (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R (PVI R+11); Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling NOT FOUND Reported money FEC May 27 : Tedford $1,448,254 / $515,723 COH; Lahmeyer $350,151; Croisant $124,218 Seat Open — Kevin Hern ran for Senate (won the Jun 16 primary outright; CFG PAC endorsed) Notable Trump endorsed Lahmeyer (May 7 ), then flipped to Tedford Jun 17 . No CFG statement on the withdrawal; Tedford is not on the endorsed list. Club network primary-era $482,735 WI-7 Wisconsin · U.S. House
Jessi Ebben — Michael Alfonso (R, Trump-endorsed; Duffy's son-in-law) vs. Fred Clark (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling NOT FOUND Reported money Ebben raised $528K; pro-Ebben Northwoods PAC (Elizabeth Uihlein $1.5M) ≈$949,881 IEs; pro-Alfonso Northwoods Future PAC (Duffy $1.5M, Richard Uihlein $1M) ≈$2,239,750 Seat Open — Tiffany running for governor (Trump 60-38) Notable Ebben's WEC ballot challenges against rivals were rejected unanimously (Jun 10 ). Club network primary-era $49,302 TN-9 Tennessee · U.S. House
Brent Taylor (R) vs. Justin J. Pearson (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R (Sep 11 ); Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R; DCCC 'seats in play' Newest public polling Hart (D, TN Rise PAC) Sep 1–3 n=400 LV: Taylor 48 / Pearson 44 Reported money FEC Jul 25 : Taylor $1,549,482 / $417,377 COH; Warner $639,617 Seat Open — Cohen (D) withdrew after the 9-0 map (district −42.66 → +21.15 Trump) Notable Lowest GOP lean in the state (R+9). Trump endorsed Taylor Jul 13 . Club network primary-era $20,448 TN-5 Tennessee · U.S. House
Charlie Hatcher (R) vs. Chaz Molder (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling Impact (D, Molder) Aug 19–24 n=500: Hatcher 48 / Molder 40 Reported money Molder $2.6M raised / ~$1.5M COH vs Hatcher $186,563 COH (Lookout) Seat Open in effect — Andy Ogles (R) lost the primary 46.8-53.2 Notable Trump endorsed Ogles (Oct 27, 2025 ) and did a tele-rally; Ogles lost anyway. Club network primary-era $3,639 LA-SEN Louisiana · U.S. Senate
Blake Miguez — Julia Letlow (R) vs. Jamie Davis (D)
Ratings Cook Solid R; Sabato Safe R; IE Solid R Newest public polling PPP (Davis campaign) Jul 21–22 n=518 RV: Letlow 41 / Davis 37 Reported money Letlow ~$6M raised; Davis ~$2M (Verite Sep 8 ) Seat Cassidy (R) lost renomination (3rd, 24.8%) Notable Trump endorsed Letlow Jan 18 . 
