Florida 14th District race 2026: Beltran vs. Castor
General election, November 3, 2026 · U.S. House in Florida’s 14th District. Incumbent Kathy Castor (D) — district redrawn 2026 (Trump margin −7.64 → +10.47; all Hillsborough)
Mike Beltran
Castor (D) vs. Beltran (R)
A Conservative Ledger profile for this contest has not been published yet.
The race at a glance
Board data as of . Ratings are the raters' own current calls; polls are the newest public ones with their field dates; money is what the committees reported. Nothing here is a forecast.
- Seat
- Incumbent Kathy Castor (D) — district redrawn 2026 (Trump margin −7.64 → +10.47; all Hillsborough)
- Primary
- (FL Division of Elections, Official Results): R Beltran 25,866 (45.59%) def. Kevin Steele 17,140 (30.21%), Bea Valenti 5,430; D no contest
- Ratings
- Cook Toss Up (Lean R→Toss Up ); Sabato Toss-up (); IE Tilt R ()
- Newest public polling
- St. Pete Polls Jul 14–15 n=469 LV: Castor 46 / Beltran 38 (pre-primary; no post-primary poll found)
- Reported money
- FEC : Castor $2,337,125 raised / $1,744,723 COH; Beltran $2,116,747 / $1,939,864
- Notable
- Trump, DeSantis, NRCC chair Hudson and Freedom Caucus Fund endorse Beltran. New map litigation ongoing but in force (FL Supreme Court denied emergency petition ).
Questions and answers
Who is running for the U.S. House in Florida’s 14th District in 2026?
Castor (D) vs. Beltran (R) (as of Sep 15, 2026).
When is the election?
The general election is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How do the raters see this race?
Cook Toss Up (Lean R→Toss Up Aug 25); Sabato Toss-up (Sep 10); IE Tilt R (Sep 3) (as of Sep 15, 2026).
What do the polls show?
St. Pete Polls Jul 14–15 n=469 LV: Castor 46 / Beltran 38 (pre-primary; no post-primary poll found) (as of Sep 15, 2026).
How much money has been reported?
FEC Jul 29: Castor $2,337,125 raised / $1,744,723 COH; Beltran $2,116,747 / $1,939,864 (as of Sep 15, 2026).